Mexico

Group AELO 1790Champion Probability 2%

Last updated:

Mexico at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Mexico are competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the first edition to feature 48 nations, held across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. They have been drawn into Group A alongside Czechia, South Africa, and South Korea. Their campaign begins on June 11, 2026 against South Africa. Group A presents a diverse mix of footballing styles and traditions, making every matchday a test of tactical adaptability and squad depth. Currently rated with an ELO of 1790, Mexico enter the tournament as strong contenders capable of a deep run. Simulations give them a 2.0% chance of winning the tournament outright. Follow Mexico's journey through every group match and knockout round as the tournament unfolds.

Matches

Group StageUpcoming
Mexico-South Africa
Group StageUpcoming
Mexico-South Korea
Group StageUpcoming
Czechia-Mexico

Tournament Progression

Champion Probability
2%
Reach Final
5%
Reach Semi-Finals
11%
Reach Quarter-Finals
27%
Reach Round of 16
49%

Rank 15 of 42 teams | 100 simulations

Model Rating

1790
ELO Rating
1.10
Attack
1.00
Defense

Model: poisson_elo_v1

Group A Standings

Group details →

Last updated: 2026-03-29T15:30:51.134Z