France

Group IELO 2000Champion Probability 11%

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Group I — standings and matchesSee how France compares against group rivals
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France at the 2026 FIFA World Cup

France are competing in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the first edition to feature 48 nations, held across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. They have been drawn into Group I alongside Norway, Senegal, and Iraq. Their campaign begins on June 16, 2026 against Senegal. Group I presents a diverse mix of footballing styles and traditions, making every matchday a test of tactical adaptability and squad depth. Currently rated with an ELO of 2000, France enter the tournament as one of the tournament favorites. Simulations give them a 11.0% chance of winning the tournament outright. Follow France's journey through every group match and knockout round as the tournament unfolds.

Matches

Group StageUpcoming
France-Senegal
DetailPrediction
Group StageUpcoming
France-Iraq
DetailPrediction
Group StageUpcoming
Norway-France
DetailPrediction

Tournament Progression

Champion Probability
11%
Reach Final
18%
Reach Semi-Finals
27%
Reach Quarter-Finals
39%
Reach Round of 16
68%

Rank 3 of 42 teams | 100 simulations

See full tournament predictions →Who will win the World Cup? →View all team probabilities →

Model Rating

2000
ELO Rating
1.35
Attack
0.80
Defense

Model: poisson_elo_v1

Group I Standings

Group details →
#Team
1France
2Norway
3Senegal
4Iraq

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Last updated: 2026-03-29T15:30:51.134Z